DXY retreats from 21-DMA but not out of woods

  • US Dollar Index eases from eight-day top, recently bounced off intraday low.
  • MACD teases bulls, sustained trading beyond 100-DMA also keeps buyers hopeful.
  • Five-week-old descending trend line adds to the upside filters.

US Dollar Index (DXY) pares intraday losses around 95.70, down 0.10% on a day during early Friday.

The greenback gauge has repeatedly failed to cross the 21-DMA so far during the week but the latest MACD conditions tease buyers as the quote remains firmer above the immediate support around 95.50, comprising 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October-November upside.

That said, DXY buyers are up for crossing the immediate DMA hurdle surrounding 95.80. However, the quote’s further advances need validation from a descending trend line from December 15, near 96.00.

If the US Dollar Index remains firmer above 96.00, it will witness multiple stops around 96.45-50 before challenging the November 2021 peak of 96.94.

Meanwhile, a clear downside break of 95.50 nearby support will direct the quote towards the 50% Fibo. level of 95.11.

However, the 100-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, respectively around 94.85 and 94.70, will challenge the DXY bears afterward.

DXY: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected


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